Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 4.757779 5.248743 5.771910 6.371484 7.040376 7.764486 8.608855
2025-12-28 4.026727 4.699593 5.462036 6.392389 7.500293 8.781434 10.380965
2026-01-04 3.476316 4.262967 5.204056 6.418578 7.952692 9.836846 12.342708
2026-01-11 3.010494 3.859052 4.925038 6.372694 8.303045 10.810205 14.348559
2026-01-18 2.612597 3.485235 4.630959 6.260960 8.545545 11.671057 16.335079
2026-01-25 2.285645 3.161270 4.358051 6.134928 8.742963 12.488379 18.379390
2026-02-01 2.018578 2.885446 4.114665 6.013027 8.921537 13.292917 20.519732
2026-02-08 1.797130 2.647674 3.895256 5.893580 9.080312 14.079215 22.743592
2026-02-15 1.627209 2.465984 3.735978 5.841517 9.329500 15.029804 25.371694
2026-02-22 1.518964 2.365696 3.687855 5.954940 9.853797 16.489491 29.090611
2026-03-01 1.392915 2.223293 3.556431 5.913211 10.107170 17.516259 32.193606
2026-03-08 1.258547 2.053491 3.361988 5.739902 10.104859 18.083382 34.516430
2026-03-15 1.159929 1.935697 3.245773 5.695339 10.339050 19.134674 38.008462
2026-03-22 1.101408 1.880639 3.231424 5.831980 10.928532 20.945254 43.380876
2026-03-29 1.044129 1.821989 3.204331 5.941003 11.478423 22.757639 49.099417
2026-04-05 0.979761 1.744298 3.134582 5.959417 11.848584 24.254532 54.398951
2026-04-12 0.911555 1.653145 3.030677 5.897931 12.044525 25.407852 59.117751
2026-04-19 0.846941 1.562910 2.919780 5.809294 12.170152 26.423168 63.698253
2026-04-26 0.788004 1.478398 2.812038 5.714862 12.270100 27.393455 68.357309
2026-05-03 0.734184 1.399292 2.707734 5.616019 12.346815 28.319585 73.087835
2026-05-10 0.691258 1.338272 2.634458 5.576525 12.555489 29.595654 79.042184
2026-05-17 0.666616 1.312201 2.630772 5.691416 13.146324 31.916350 88.474006
2026-05-24 0.630297 1.258930 2.564880 5.656710 13.366229 33.315613 95.492042